Market Overview

US CPI

Today’s focus is on US inflation data, which are highly anticipated by market operators. The April CPI was expected to slow down, which may suggest that the peak has been reached. The inflation index was reported a week after the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point rate hike and a similarly sized hike at the next two policy meetings.

Nonfarm Payroll

Markets were dominated by inflation and growth concerns, feeding fears over the possibility of stagflation. The trigger could have been data from the US on rising labor costs combined with a sharp decline in productivity.

Fed

The markets focus this week was on the Fed’s latest monetary policy decision. Yesterday the FOMC announced a 50 basis point rate hike, the largest since 2000.

Euro Area CPI

Global markets are keeping a close eye on the war, after Russia cut off gas supplies to Poland and Bulgaria. Putin threatened “lightning-fast” retaliation against “hostile” countries that intervene in the conflict.

US GDP

Market uncertainty and the economic slowdown continue to loom as the Russia-Ukraine war raises setbacks. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts a global GDP growth of 3.6% this year and in 2023.

Euro Area PMI

The conflict in Ukraine is heavily weighing on the global economy. Such event is reflected in macroeconomic indicators, skyrocketing inflation and downward pressure on GDP estimates. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised down its global growth estimate for 2022 to 3.6%.

ECB

Today, the focus is on the ECB’s monetary policy decisions. The war in Ukraine, sanctions against Russia, supply bottlenecks and soaring inflation are weighing heavily on the euro area economy. The Governing Councilmust therefore strike a balance between economic slowdown and high inflation.

UK Economy

Inflation, supply chain disruptions and the Russia-Ukraine war continue to put pressure on the global economy and central bank monetary policy decisions.

Iran Nuclear Deal

The week began with oil prices surging again. Tighter supply concerns persisted following fears of new sanctions against Russia by the EU and halted talks on the Iran nuclear deal.

Nonfarm payroll

The Russia-Ukraine negotiations resume today with all eyes are on how the war is evolving and also on the worrying effects it has on the economy, especially in the euro area.

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Aleph Finance is a trading name of Pairstech Capital Management LLP.
Pairstech Capital Management LLP is authorized and regulated by the FCA – Financial Conduct Authority – with registration number 477155.
Pairstech Capital Management LLP is authorized as third country firm without a branch by CONSOB with registration number 54.
Registered Company number OC333807.

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Aleph Finance is a trading name of Pairstech Capital Management LLP.
Pairstech Capital Management LLP is authorized and regulated by the FCA – Financial Conduct Authority – with registration number 477155.
Pairstech Capital Management LLP is authorized as third country firm without a branch by CONSOB with registration number 54.
Registered Company number OC333807.

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